Monday, January 1, 2018

Time to Start Imagineering a Post-Ayatollah Iran


A concerted effort on the part of Iranian citizens rioting, backed by cyber warfare, American air-power, and Israeli counterintelligence operations, would succeed in taking down the brutal Iranian regime. The hour of truth is now. It’s time to start imagineering a post-ayatollah Iran.

Over the years, I’ve written about Jewish indigenous rights to the Land of Israel, and how Israeli foreign policy should support the non-Arab/Muslim indigenous minorities throughout the Middle East and North Africa – such as the Kurds – and roll-back the 7th century Arab/Muslim imperialist conquest of the region. To help create a New Middle East.

Now, because the Iranian people are voting in the streets, it’s time for it’s corollary, a post-ayatollah democratic Iran. Something that would greatly benefit the Iranian people, America, Israel, the West in general, and all the peoples of the region. And, disengage Iran from North Korea; George W. Bush’s “Axis of Evil.” See my “North Korea: The Israeli Connection” to better understand their relationship.

The last couple times there were large protests against the government in Iran in 2009-2010 and again in 2011-2012, the Obama administration wasted its opportunity to help liberate the Iranian people from the mullahs, and put the nuclear facilities in the hands of level-headed people.

Judith Miller, a Pulitzer Prize winning journalist and adjunct fellow of the Manhattan Institute for Policy Research, in a recent interview stated, “...that might have happened in 2009 if Pres. Obama had lent any support. Pres. Trump is now in this. I’m hoping the Iranian people get rid of this regime...this is the most serious set of protests since 1979.”

Former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff under Bush and Obama agrees, Retired Adm. Mike Mullen, wants the Trump administration to not make the same mistakes as the Obama administration, and fully back protesters in Iran.

Reza Pahlavi – Crown Prince of Iran and son of the late Shah – see’s the historic opportunity and has called on the people of Iran to participate in acts of civil disobedience, similar to Lech Walesa/Poland, Nelson Mandela/South Africa, and what occurred during the fall of the Soviet Union and Berlin Wall.

Alireza Jafarzadeh, an active dissident against the Iranian government, formerly the chief congressional liaison and public spokesperson for the US office of the National Council of Resistance of Iran, and best known for revealing the existence of clandestine nuclear facilities in Iran in 2002, stated that, “riots have broken out in over 80 cities throughout Iran.”

In a recent interview, Jafarzadeh explained that the riots started because of the economic situation, and accusations of corruption against the regime, and quickly morphed into an anti-Khamenei, anti-Rouhani, anti-regime movement. He stated, “people see the money that came from America, from Obama’s Iran deal, that the regime had promised would help improve people’s economic situations, going instead, to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, to Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Bahrain, Gaza and Lebanon.”

Jafarzadeh said the Iranian people do not support the foreign interventions and terrorism that the government has been involved in. He claimed that, “The situation now is more serious than in 2009, because, leaders of the regime are divided themselves.” He called on the West to designate the leaders of the regime as, “major violators of Human Rights,” and weaken the regime further by applying new sanctions to it.

The Trump administration can do a lot to bring about regime change in Iran, and they shouldn’t hesitate to take advantage of this G-d given window of opportunity.

Big protests in Iran,” Trump tweeted. “The people are finally getting wise as to how their money and wealth is being stolen and squandered on terrorism. Looks like they will not take it any longer. The USA is watching very closely for human rights violations!”

And then Trump tweeted, “Iran is failing at every level despite the terrible deal made with them by the Obama Administration. The great Iranian people have been repressed for many years. They are hungry for food & for freedom. Along with human rights, the wealth of Iran is being looted. TIME FOR CHANGE!”

Israeli PM Netanyahu echoed Trump’s sentiments in a video posted to his Facebook page saying, “Brave Iranians are pouring into the streets. They seek freedom. They seek justice. They seek the basic liberties that have been denied them for decades. Iran’s cruel regime wastes tens of billions of dollars spreading hate,” in the region. “This money could have built schools and hospitals.” Netanyahu continued, “This regime tries desperately to sow hate between us. But they won’t succeed. And when this regime finally falls, and one day it will, Iranians and Israelis will be great friends once again,” (as before the 1979 Islamic Revolution).

US Vice President Mike Pence also tweeted support for the protesters, saying “We will not let them down.”

But, ‘vicious’ tweets and Facebook videos won’t do it. In his recent national security speech Trump said, “To counter Iran and block its path to a nuclear weapon, I sanctioned the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps for its support of terrorism, and I declined to certify the Iran Deal to Congress.” With Iranians now rioting in the streets, America must step-up to the plate and commit itself to absolute victory in Iran, using it’s massive firepower, for the good of the world.
 
As Trump said, “A nation that is not prepared to win a war is a nation not capable of preventing a war.”

Open US support for the Democratic Revolution in Iran, the protesters, backed by American air-cover to prevent Iranian security from mowing them down, would go a long way. Add to that, missile strikes against selected command-and-control systems, nuclear facilities, government media outlets, and other selected infrastructure, and you have a lethal combination, to empower the Iranian people to overthrow their ayatollahs.

Israel’s contribution can be significant too. Remember Stuxnet, the malicious computer wormuncovered in 2010 by Kaspersky Lab – it was responsible for causing substantial damage to Iran’s nuclear program up to that point. The worm was believed to have been a jointly built American/Israeli cyberweapon. Israel is one of the acknowledged world leaders in cyber warfare.

And, according to Ronen Bergman, senior correspondent for military and intelligence affairs for Yedioth Ahronoth, Israel’s Mossad, has been carrying out counterintelligence operations for some time in Iran, including sabotage and the assassination of nuclear scientists and others, involved in Iran’s nuclear program. Bergman in the past justified the operations, citing former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, who regularly said that Israel should be wiped off the face of the earth. Ayatollah Khamenei and others continue in his footsteps.

Bergman said, refering to Meir Degan, the former chief of the Mossad, “… he hung a photograph behind him, behind the chair of the chief of Mossad, And in that photograph you see – an ultra-orthodox Jew – long beard, standing on his knees with his hands up in the air, and two Gestapo soldiers standing beside him with guns pointed at him. One of them is smiling...Degan used to say to his people and the people coming to visit him from CIA, NSA, etc, ‘Look at this guy in the picture. This is my grandfather just seconds before he was killed by the SS,’ we are here to prevent this from happening again.’”

So, one can understand Israel’s high motivation to bring down the mullah regime in Iran.

Supporting the creation of a pro-western independent Kurdistan bordering Iran, as a bulwark to help prevent a pro-Iranian Shiite Crescent, from Iran through Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon, to the Mediterranean, should be of immediate interest to policy makers in America, Israel, the Sunni Arab Coalition, and the West. So too, should they actively resist, Iranian penetration of neighboring states, support for international terrorism, and the development of nuclear weapons.

Better yet, it’s time to start imagineering a post-ayatollah Iran. A democratic Iran, denuclearized, and welcomed back into the family of civilized nations, good to its citizens, and at peace with its neighbors. The hour of truth is now, enough poli-talk, it’s time to act!

Ariel Natan Pasko, an independent analyst and consultant, has a Master's Degree specializing in International Relations, Political Economy & Policy Analysis. His articles appear regularly on numerous news/views and think-tank websites and in newspapers. His latest articles can also be read on his archive: The Think Tank by Ariel Natan Pasko.
(c) 2018/5778 Pasko

Sunday, December 17, 2017

Treating Peace Process Delusional Disorder in Israel and Worldwide


Peace Process Delusional Disorder (PPDD), the obsessive and delusional drive to create an dangerous Arab/Islamic state in the Land of Israel, has plagued many leaders and activists throughout the world, and in Israel, and might soon be listed in the DSM-6. After having smoked the peace pipe for almost twenty five years, many Israelis on the left of the political spectrum, need help recovering from their delusions and peace addiction. Not only the Israeli far-left, Breaking the Silence, Peace Now, Meretz and the other addicts like them in Israel, but those who unwittingly imbibed second hand smoke as well, like grassroots BDS activists worldwide, urgently need help, overcoming their debilitating PPDD.
PPDD caused by Peace Addiction, has become the scourge of the new millennium. A new twelve step program of recovery, Peace Addicts Anonymous (PAA), has to be promoted vigorously, to rid those afflicted in Israel and globally. 

And what is Peace Addicts Anonymous (PAA) twelve step program, you ask?

1. We admit to being powerless over the peace drug. Our lives have become contumacious and endangered.

2. Came to believe that a power greater than ourselves could restore our security.
3. Made a decision to turn our political will over to the God of Israel as understood by the Jewish sages.

4. Made a searching inventory of ourselves and the anti-Israel propaganda we've spread.
5. Admitted to God and to society, the destructive nature of radical Islam and peace addiction.

6. Were entirely ready to have God remove all these defects of political analysis.
7. Humbly asked Him to fix our moral compass.

8. Made a list of all persons injured and murdered because of our political arrogance and became willing to support Israeli communities throughout the Land of Israel.
9. Made direct amends to such people and communities wherever possible.

10. Continued to take personal inventory and strive to reset our moral compass when we saw how wrong we were.

11. Sought through prayer and political activism to improve our contact with the God of Israel as understood by the Jewish sages, praying for knowledge of His will for us, true political insight, and the power to carry that out.
12. Having had a spiritual and political awakening because of working these steps, we tried to carry this message to all peace addicts, and to practice them in our lives and political affairs.

A new dawn is arising, change is coming, the light of day is shining on a world where only Islamic darkness, addiction and despair had previously reined. Islam calls itself the “Religion of Peace,” yet almost everywhere on the globe where you find war and terrorism, you find Muslims perpetrating it.
Donald Trump seemed until recently, to understand who the enemy is and said it publicly, Radical Islam.

But in his recent declaration on Jerusalem, Trump said, “Peace is never beyond the grasp of those willing to reach it...I repeat the message I delivered at the historic and extraordinary summit in Saudi Arabia earlier this year: The Middle East is a region rich with culture, spirit, and history...But the incredible future awaiting this region is held at bay by bloodshed, ignorance, and terror. Vice President Pence will travel to the region...to work with partners throughout the Middle East to defeat radicalism...It is time for the many who desire peace to expel the extremists from their midst...And finally, I ask the leaders of the region — political and religious, Israeli and Palestinian, Jewish and Christian and Muslim — to join us in the noble quest for lasting peace.”
Notice he referred to radicalism, not Islamic radicalism, and extremists, not Muslim extremists.

Has President Trump also been exposed to second hand smoke from the peace pipe?

After working on tax cuts, I hope the Trump administration overhauls Obama-care, and add a version of the PAA twelve step program to their health care system. It’s about time they start taking PPDD seriously and treat it as the public scourge it is.

And what about Israel?

The chief “peace pusher'” in Israel, Shimon Peres, retired to his new residence, permanently, not long ago. Will Israelis be treated, to get off the peace pipe? Will Israel add peace addiction recovery programs to it's basket of health services as well? Will PPDD be recognized by the National Insurance Institute as the public health and security problem it is? Will Netanyahu finally declare the two-state solution - a euphemism for Islam’s final solution - dead?

Or, does Netanyahu himself have to go to rehab? Only time will tell...

Ariel Natan Pasko, an independent analyst and consultant, has a Master's Degree specializing in International Relations, Political Economy & Policy Analysis. His articles appear regularly on numerous news/views and think-tank websites and in newspapers. His latest articles can also be read on his archive: The Think Tank by Ariel Natan Pasko.
(c) 2017/5778 Pasko

Saturday, December 9, 2017

Palestinians, Beware Jewish Days of Rage, Hanukkah is Coming to Israel!

How dare they, the so-called “Palestinians” carry out “Days of Rage,” after Trump’s recognition of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital. The descendants of 7th century Arab imperialists and 20th century Arab squatters; people who have conquered and occupied the Jewish People’s patrimony. What the Torah calls “a non-people”(Deuteronomy 32:21). The Jewish people are the indigenous population to the area, not the so-called “Palestinians.” They should shut-up already and go back to where they came from, Iraq, Syria, the Arabian peninsula, Egypt (for example Arafat was from Egypt.), etc.

What the Palestinians should worry about is pushing the Jews too far. After nearly 2,000 years of exile from their homeland, they’ve returned, and nothing will reverse that divine decree. Push the Jews too far and you might just get a Jewish backlash, “Jewish Days of Rage.” The Syrian-Greeks pushed us too far, the Mityavnim (the Hellenized Jews) pushed us to far, and then Matityahu, his sons, and other loyal Jews stood up and began a guerrilla war against the Hellenistic occupation. And let’s remember, the Maccabees were victorious.

Watch out, Hanukkah is coming!

Palestinian supporters should shut-up too. They’re on the wrong side of history. After a thousand years of anti-Semitism in Europe culminating in the Holocaust, Europe has nothing to teach us about morality. Their moral compass broke eons ago.

The Muslim anti-Jewish narrative is a Big Lie too. Real Muslims, who know the Quran, know that G-d promised the land to the people of Israel, and promised to bring them back to it.

Sheikh Prof. Abdul Hadi Palazzi for example, supports the Jewish divine right to the Land of Israel, and backs his positions with citations from the Koran and traditional Muslim sources. He has a doctorate in Islamic Sciences from the Institute for Islamic Studies and Research in Naples (by authorization of the former Grand Mufti of Saudi Arabia), and ijazzah (authorization to teach) both Koranic exegesis and Islamic law from the prestigious University of al-Azhar as-Sharif in Cairo.
Palazzi believes that the Koran clearly states (Sura 5:21), that G-d granted the Land of Israel to the Children of Israel, and ordered them to settle there. In addition, it is predicted that before the end of days, God will bring the Children of Israel to retake possession of the Land, gathering them from the different countries and nations (Sura 17:104).

Sheikh Palazzi argues that Muslim religious opposition to the existence of Israel is not grounded within classical Muslim religious texts, which actually do support Israel’s right to exist. But was created by the Grand Mufti Haj Amin Al Husseini, Hitler’s friend. Husseini it must be remembered, collaborated with both Italy and Germany during World War II by making propagandistic radio broadcasts, and helped the Nazis recruit Bosnian Muslims for the Waffen-SS, who guarded train tracks to death camps.

And Palazzi’s not alone, there’s Khaleel Mohammed, a professor of Religion at San Diego State University, in California. He’s a member of Homeland Security Master's Program, and a core faculty member of SDSU's Center for Islamic and Arabic Studies. He studied Islamic law at Imam Muhammad ibn Saud Islamic University in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, and has a PhD in Islamic law from McGill University in Montreal.

Mohammed agreed with Palazzi in a 2004 interview, in which he stated that Sura 5:21 of the Quran, and the medieval exegetes of the Quran, say that Israel belongs to the Jews. He says of Israel, “It’s in the Muslim consciousness that the land first belonged to the Jews. It doesn't matter if the Jews were exiled 500 years or 2000 years, the Holy Land, as mentioned in Quran belongs to Moses and his people, the Jews.”

Then there’s Sheikh Ahmad Adwan, a Muslim scholar living in Jordan, who declared on his Facebook page in 2014 that, Palestine doesn't exist, and that Jews are the inheritors of Israel (Sura 26:59).

Adwan insisted, “I say to those who distort...the Koran: from where did you bring the name Palestine, you liars, you accursed, when Allah has already named it ‘The Holy Land’ and bequeathed it to the Children of Israel until the Day of Judgment,” (Sura 5:21).

Your demand for the Land of Israel is a falsehood and it constitutes an attack on the Koran, on the Jews and their land. Therefore you won’t succeed, and Allah will fail you and humiliate you, because Allah is the one who will protect them (i.e. the Jews),” warned Adwan.

The Jews are a peaceful people according to Adwan, who says “if they are attacked, they defend themselves while causing as little damage to the attackers as possible. It is an honor for them that Allah has chosen them over the worlds – meaning over the people and the Jinns (spiritual creatures) until the Day of Judgment...When Allah chose them, He didn’t do so out of politeness, and He wasn’t unjust to other peoples, it is just that they (the Jews) deserved this.”

And, there are plenty of other Muslim scholars who acknowledge Israel’s rights, go do the research.

So, after President Trump’s recent speech officially recognizing Jerusalem as Israel’s capital, in which he said, “...we finally acknowledge the obvious: that Jerusalem is Israel’s capital. This is nothing more, or less, than a recognition of reality. It is also the right thing to do. It’s something that has to be done,” why are the Palestinians really rioting? Why were several rockets shot into Israel from Gaza? Why is Hezbollah, Hamas, Turkey, Iran, the Arab League, the UN, even North Korea, and the rest of the usual gang screaming?

It seems that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman proposed that the village of Abu Dis become the future capital of Palestine instead of East Jerusalem, during Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas’ visit to Riyadh last month. Abu Dis is a town just outside the E. Jerusalem city limit. According to the Oslo Accords, it is classified as Area B, which is administered jointly by both Israel and the PA. Salman gave Abbas two months to respond to the offer.

According Palestinian sources, the proposal offered Palestinians a non-contiguous mini-state in Judea, Samaria and Gaza – the West Bank administrative areas A and B and 10 percent of area C – with limited self-government, while the majority of Israeli towns and villages (settlements) would remain, and Israel would be responsible for security on the borders with Jordan & Egypt. This sounds very similar to what Netanyahu has been pushing for years.

The proposal does not grant Palestinian “refugees” and their descendants living in other countries, the right of return to Israel. See my article “Who is a Palestinian Refugee?” (2003) to better understand that Big Lie.

It seems Abbas and Hamas have taken a page out of Arafat’s playbook. During the Camp David Summit in July, 2000, US president Bill Clinton, Israeli PM Ehud Barak and PA chairman Yasser Arafat met, but the summit ended without an agreement. Just as Arafat started the Oslo War (second intifadah) after being offered almost everything – 92% of Judea, Samaria, and Gaza – and then rejecting it, Abbas is starting another war.

But, notice carefuly, Trump during his speech didn’t say “undivided capital.” Trump continued, “We are not taking a position on...specific boundaries of the Israeli sovereignty in Jerusalem...Those questions are up to the parties involved.” So let’s just be clear. This “recognition” doesn’t preclude the re-division of Jerusalem into the capitals of Israel and a Palestinian state.

US Public Law 104-45, The Jerusalem Embassy Act of 1995, was adopted by the Senate (93–5), and the House (374–37). The act declares it to be US policy that:

(1) “Jerusalem remain an undivided city in which the rights of every ethnic religious group are protected.” (There is physical division and there is functional division, what did congress mean?)

(2) “Jerusalem should be recognized as the capital of the State of Israel (Which Trump just did); and” 

(3) “the United States Embassy in Israel should be established in Jerusalem no later than May 31, 1999.” (But presidents were provided with a six-month waiver option, which Trump just signed.)

Consistent with the Jerusalem Embassy Act,” Trump promised to direct, “the State Department to begin preparation to move the American embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.”

In pursuance of that act, a potential site for the future US Embassy, has been demarcated by Israel and the US, and is maintained in the neighborhood of Talpiot (in W. Jerusalem). Again, proof that E. Jerusalem could be negotiable, from the US perspective.

Trump also said, “Jerusalem is today, and must remain, a place where Jews pray at the Western Wall, where Christians walk the Stations of the Cross, and where Muslims worship at Al-Aqsa Mosque.”

Let’s be clear, whether the “Palestinians” get a mini-state with Abu Dis as their capital; or somehow part of E. Jerusalem is relabeled, so that they can claim E. Jerusalem is the capital of their state. And, the Arab occupation of the Jewish people’s holiest site, the Temple Mount continues. All these scenarios are unacceptable to today’s Maccabees. Remember, the first Maccabees fought to get the Syrian-Greeks occupation off the Temple Mount.

Judaism, Christianity (in spite of what the Pope said recently), and yes even authentic Islam, all recognize the Jewish people’s exclusive rights over it’s ancient homeland, the Land of Israel, and that includes all of Jerusalem.

The Palestinians should beware. The world should beware. Push the Jews too far and you might just get a Jewish backlash, “Jewish Days of Rage,” today’s Maccabees in action.

Hanukkah is coming!!!

Ariel Natan Pasko, an independent analyst and consultant, has a Master's Degree specializing in International Relations, Political Economy & Policy Analysis. His articles appear regularly on numerous news/views and think-tank websites and in newspapers. His latest articles can also be read on his archive: The Think Tank by Ariel Natan Pasko.
(c) 2017/5778 Pasko

Published at: JewishPress.com, BreakingIsraelNews.com, with slightly different titles at:
Arutz Sheva/IsraelNationalNews.com, and United With Israel (short version), etc. 

Wednesday, October 25, 2017

Israel Must Recognize An Independent State of Kurdistan


It’s very ironic that all the noise about the Kurdish independence referendum; the battles between Kurdish and Iraqi forces; Turkish, Syrian, and Iranian opposition to Kurdish independence; discussion in Israel whether the State of Israel should recognize Kurdish independence; is taking place within a few weeks before and just after the 16th Yahrtzeit – anniversary of the murder – of former Israeli Tourism Minister and Moledet Party founder Rechavam Ze’evi by PFLP terrorists in 2001.

It's no secret that close relations existed between Israel and the Kurds throughout most of the sixties and into the seventies, until the collapse of the Kurdish revolt in Iraq, in 1975. Ze’evias a young military officerhad been to Kurdistan in the 1960s and Iraqi Kurdish leader Mustafa Barzani had been to Israel. Reflective of this, the 1996 Moledet Party Platform, Chapter 9: Foreign Policy, paragraph 17, stated “Israel will act against the oppression of peoples like the Kurds...”

Ba’athist “forced Arabization” of minorities – Kurds, Yezidis, Assyrian Christians, Armenians, and others, in Kurdistan – northern Iraqbegan in the 1960s, and lasted until the early 2000s. The Kurds, were brutally suppressed by Saddam Hussein’s Ba’athist regime, starting in the late 1970s. During the 1987-88 Al-Anfal Campaign, an estimated 180,000 Kurds were killed, hundreds of thousands more, were expelled from their traditional homeland in northern Iraq. During the campaign, over 3,000 Kurdish villages were destroyed and replaced with Arab settlers, and chemical weapons were used against them, as in the infamous 1988 Halabja Massacre, that killed as many as 5,000 and injured up to 10,000 people.

In fact, the town of Kirkuk, in the news a lot recently, was originally a Kurdish majority, multi-ethnic city. The Ba’athist Arabization program concentrated on moving Arabs to the vicinity of oil fields in Kurdistan, particularly the ones around Kirkuk. According to Human Rights Watch, from 1991 – after the Gulf War – until 2003, the Ba’athist Iraqi government, systematically expelled over 500,000 Kurds from the Kirkuk region.

The Kurdish people are the largest, stateless, ethnicity in the world, estimated between 30-45 million worldwide, with the majority residing in historic Kurdistan. The area the Kurds consider Kurdistan includes, parts of southeastern Turkey (Northern Kurdistan), northern Syria (Western Kurdistan), northern Iraq (Southern Kurdistan), and northwestern Iran (Eastern Kurdistan). The Turks, Syrians, and Iranians, have all oppressed their Kurdish populations also.

The Kurds have always looked toward Israel as a role model. The Jews are the only minority in the middle east – actually the remnant of the indigenous population of the land of Israel as the Kurds are in Kurdistan – that has liberated itself politically from the 7th century Arab imperialist invasion, occupation and oppression of the region.

With this in mind, Israel should actively and openly revive the former policy of support for the Kurdish people. Israel must recognize the State of Kurdistan, as soon as they declare independence, establish diplomatic relations, exchange embassies, work in international forums and agencies to support their independence, and at the UN, to have them admitted as a member state.

In a recent article, Dr. Mordechai Kedar, of Bar-Ilan University in Israel, raises an important point. Kedar referring to, “Israeli pundits, army officers and politicians...view the current regional situation as a golden opportunity that Israel must take advantage of by accepting the Arab peace proposals, establishing a Palestinian state and embarking on a new era of cooperation with the ‘moderate Sunni axis’ in order to bring peace and security to Israel and the entire area.” He then asks, “Why? Because all these countries fear Iran as much as, and possibly more, than Israel does.”

Referring to recent, seemingly warmer relations between Israel and the Sunni Arab states in the region who feel threatened by Iran, He then asks, “But let us suppose that the Iranian threat disappears because Israel succeeds in an attack on Iranian nuclear facilities...Will the Arab and Western worlds be grateful to Israel and act to protect Israel’s interests?”
Kedar then answers, “What happened to the Kurds will happen to Israel. The Kurds fought ISIS, sacrificed their soldiers and people, and were thrown to the wolves once they were not needed. That is exactly what the world’s nations will do to Israel once it extricates them from the Iranian problem. Why not? The immediate interests of each and every country and not the moral rights of the Kurds and the Israelis are what makes the world go round.”
In my recent article, “North Korea: The Israeli Connection” I made a similar point, “As the saying goes, ‘countries don’t have friends, just interests.’ There are close parallels between the US, South Korea and Japan, vis-à-vis North Korea, and the US and Israel, vis-à-vis Iran. So Jews and Israel should be watching closely how the Trump administration ‘protects’ its allies. One can get a picture of just how well America would cover Israel under its ‘security umbrella,’ when pushing Israel to take a ‘chance for peace’ as has been suggested, in any future Middle East peace deal, by watching the Korean crisis unfold. And, it will give a clue as to how much Israel can count on the US in dealing with Iran’s nuclear program.” One could now add to that, watch how the Trump administration has abandoned the Kurds.

Israel should pro-actively support the legitimate aspirations of the oppressed minorities – the indigenous peoples – of the Middle East and North Africa, like the Kurds and Berbers, and build alliances with them. It should be a corner stone of Israeli Foreign Policy.

In 2014, PM Netanyahu said that, “It is upon us to support the Kurds’ aspiration for independence,” and called them a “fighting people that have proven political commitment and political moderation, and they’re also worthy of their own political independence.”

In August of this year, Netanyahu told a visiting delegation of 33 Republican Congressmen from the US, that he was in favor of an independent state for the Kurds, “a brave, pro-Western people who share our values.”

And again, speaking at the state memorial ceremony for Ze’evi, just recently, Netanyahu said, “The Kurds demonstrate national maturity and international maturity...We have very great sympathy for their desires and the world needs to concern itself with their safety and with their future.”

Till now, Israel has been the only country to openly support Kurdish independence, with Netanyahu last month backing “the legitimate efforts of the Kurdish people to attain a state of its own.” But, he did not specify how and where such a state should come into being.

Well, now that they’ve voted for independence, you have to put your words into action! The State of Israel must recognize the State of Kurdistan as soon as they declare independence.

Popular former Likud MK Gideon Sa’ar – and a potential challenger to Netanyahu – has also urged Israel support Kurdish independence, saying in June that, “they have proven themselves over decades to be a reliable strategic partner for us.” And again, on the day of the referendum in late September, “I hope that if there is a majority for independence, Israel will be the first country to recognize Iraqi Kurdistan.”

Finally, Israeli Middle East expert Dr. Eddy Cohenas reported in Arutz Sheva recently – said that if the Kurds are dislodged from their positions by Iran it could endanger Israel and therefore Israel has a strategic interest in helping the Kurds.
Israel has always had a strategic interest in the success of the Kurds. That’s why Israel has supported them since the 1960s, and why I’ve been calling for Israel to support Kurdish independence since the early 2000s.
I think the Americans blew it in 2003, they should have carved Iraq into three areas – or states on the way – approximately, a Kurdish north, Sunni center, and Shiite south. They should have offered the Kurds independence almost immediately, they then would have had a strong regional ally and bulwark against Iran much earlier. A de-Ba’athification program for the Sunni center should have been implemented, similar to de-Nazification in Germany after WWII. The Shiite south, by having their own area, might not have become as radical as they did. Without the power struggle with the Sunnis; in the “unified” Iraq, that the Americans attempted to maintain; the Shiites might not have drawn closer to Iran, being that they were Arabs and not Persians. The two other areas both under American military occupation, could have been offered a performance based track toward eventual independence, and seeing what the Americans did with the Kurds, would have proven the Americans trustworthy.

The Americans seem to be missing the boat of opportunity again, with regards to the Kurds. But Israel shouldn’t, it’s about time that Israel recognize an independent State of Kurdistan!

Ariel Natan Pasko, an independent analyst and consultant, has a Master's Degree specializing in International Relations, Political Economy & Policy Analysis. His articles appear regularly on numerous news/views and think-tank websites and in newspapers. His latest articles can also be read on his archive: The Think Tank by Ariel Natan Pasko.


(c) 2017/5778 Pasko

Published at: BreakingIsraelNews.com, ManhigutYehudit-JewishLeadership, IntellectualConservative.com, JewishPress.com,  etc.

East & West Palestine, or Hamastan vs. Fatahland


The Hamas – Fatah Reconciliation Agreement, recently cooked up in Cairo, which would see the Palestinian Authority resume control of Gaza by December 1st; has barely cooled, and already there are problems in paradise, in spite of the early celebrations of Gaza residents waving Egyptian, Palestinian Authority, Hamas, and Fatah flags, upon announcement of the deal. Just days after signing the agreement, Egypt canceled it’s planned opening of the Rafiah border crossing, between Gaza and Sinai, a major incentive in the agreement, after another ISIS terror attack, that killed six Egyptian soldiers in Northern Sinai.

Egypt has kept the border crossing closed since October 2014, with a few exceptions for the passage of humanitarian aid. Egypt blames Hamas for a horrendous attack, that killed 30 Egyptian soldiers in 2014, by aiding ISIS terrorists in Sinai, through their weapons smuggling tunnels. Numerous attacks have occurred since, and Egypt continues to blame Hamas for the aid to the Sinai Islamists. And, it’s not lost on President el-Sisi, that Hamas was started by the Muslim Brotherhood.

Since the Sharm El-Sheikh meeting of 2005, which included the US, Israel, Egypt, Jordan, and the Palestinian Authority, it’s been rumored that there’s a proposal to bring Egyptian influence back into Gaza, and Jordanian influence back into Judea and Samaria. They are supposed to help the Palestinians reform their security services, democratize and stabilize society, so that the PA’s Abbas can govern, and ultimately negotiate with Israel.

It seems that Trump is continuing to carry out that plan.

As I wrote a couple months ago, “The Trump administration is exploring new approaches for easing the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, that builds on talks with the budding Sunni Arab coalition of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt and Jordan,” according to an unnamed US official.

The American strategy is to unite the Palestinian Authority (Fatah) and Hamas, under Abbas’ leadership, so that a united Palestinian bloc could renew negotiations with Israel. The Trump administration is using it’s connections with the Sunni Arab states, to put pressure on all the Palestinian factions to join up. Hence, the Hamas – Fatah Reconciliation Agreement. The Americans, in return, have promised to deliver Israel to the negotiating table, when the Palestinians are ready. And to grease the squeaky wheel, the US is trying to bring Jerusalem and Ramallah together through joint economic initiatives.

Meanwhile, the Arab coalition has tried to push Hamas closer to Egypt and the UAE, and distance them from Qatar, which for years has been a major financial backer. Mohammed Dahlan, a former Fatah leader in Gaza, who has been living in the UAE, has been the key intermediary. He recently returned to Gaza and organized UAE-financed humanitarian aid there, said to include about $15 million a month in food and social assistance for families, plus additional money for electricity and water.

The plan is to provide economic and social support, through Egypt, with Israel’s blessing, that can weaken the Muslim Brotherhood’s influence. Israel has allowed fuel and other shipments to pass from Egypt through the border crossing at Rafiah, signaling it’s tacit support. Dahlan and the UAE have larger plans. Dahlan said the UAE has pledged to finance a $100 million electricity plant, to be built on the Egyptian side of the border, to help power Gaza. Therefore, the announced canceling of the Rafiah border opening by Egypt, presents a serious challenge to the plan.

Over the years, international peace plans, have seen “Palestine,” as having a common border with Jordan, Egypt and a territorial link between Judea, Samaria (the West Bank/Fatahland) and Gaza/Hamastan.

Was that East and West Pakistan? We know what happened to them...

If a Palestinian state is born, East and West Palestine (the West Bank/
Fatahland and Gaza/Hamastan) will suffer a similar end. Or, do they intend to carve up Israel to gain territorial contiguity? Will Israel be reduced to a Northern and Southern Kingdom as in the Bible? Will Tel-Aviv and the Galileeformerly the coastal and northern parts of Israelbecome disconnected from the Negev, the newly formed Southern State?

Whatever they tell you, know this, states collapse, countries or areas of a country merge with other states, and some ethnic groups go extinct over time. East and West Palestine is just such a creature. It will be still-born at best, on long-term international life-support. But that won't save it from the fate of East and West Pakistan. So, even if an illegitimate child-state is born, expect its early demise.

“Why?” you might ask.

For starters, because there never was an independent Palestinian Arab state or
shared identity. The closest thing they have to a shared identity, is hatred of Jews, the desire for statehood, and to use it to wipe out Israel. If they achieved statehood and actually lived peaceably with Israel for some time, their whole purpose of existence would end. History abhors a vacuum, and the so-called “Palestinian identity” would probably be subsumed in a greater Muslim identity; Hamas will work to ensure that. And, that will lead right back to conflict with Israel.


Beyond this, Jewish identity is stronger. Simply put – Israeliness not withstanding – Jewish identity, the connection to our ancient and modern homeland, will prevail over a sick child-state and its international doctor-backers. You know, I feel that the US, EU, and UN are about to play the role of Dr. Kevorkian (the suicide doctor). They're about to help the “Palestinians” commit national suicide.

Why is this child-state doomed?

Because it won’t be a real democracy, in spite of a likely Jimmy Carter certification, as he did in 2006 when Hamas won parliamentary elections. My proof? Ask yourself, will Jews living in towns in Judea and Samaria be allowed to stay and be equal Palestinian citizens – including voting rights and electability to parliament – as Israeli Arabs are in Israel? No, they’re talking about ethnic cleansing, uprooting hundreds of thousands of Jewish “settlers”, making “Palestine” Judenreinfree of Jews. And a state born in such sin will never redeem itself. An independent Palestine might be described by some as a democracy, but, in fact, it will more closely resemble a Nazi state. Remember, Yasser Arafat's uncle Haj Amin Al-Husseini, was Hitler’s friend.

Does anyone really believe that Abbas/Fatah will gain control over Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and the Hezbollah and ISIS elements in Gaza? He’s been having problems within his own Fatah movement. East and West Palestine will be a terror state, and its eventual end will gladden the hearts of millions around the world.

If born, this moral-AIDS-ridden terror state won’t be a democracy. Lacking democracy, freedom, prosperity and real control over their own lives, Arabs will continue to suffer deprivations at the hands of their corrupt leaders and be used – by the likes of Hamas – to attack Israel. Because it won’t integrate the different elements of Arab society into an organic whole, they will never overcome their deeper inner contradictions. As long as they have an external enemy, the Jews, they might hold off the internal feud, but for how long?


Hamastan vs. Fatahland…

To give you an idea on how deep the divisions run, this latest Hamas – Fatah Reconciliation Agreement, is the fourteenth attempt at reconciliation since 2005.

In 2005, they signed the Cairo Declaration. In 2006 the Prisoners’ Document; in February 2007, the Mecca Agreement to form a national unity government; and March 2008, they signed the Sana'a Declaration. They held talks in 2009 and again in 2010. In May 2011, they signed the Cairo agreement, to form a joint caretaker government, with presidential and legislative elections to be held in 2012. The February 2012 Doha agreement, and the May 2012 Cairo accord, were a further push to implement the 2011 Cairo agreement. They held more talks in January 2013, following the upgrade of “Palestine” at the UN. Then signed the 2014 Gaza and Cairo Agreements, followed by more talks about reconciliation in 2016.

East and West Palestine, or Hamastan vs. Fatahland, won’t last because they aren’t the same societies.


Gaza is medieval, insular, Islamic, poverty-stricken, overcrowded and, in just plain language, “a hell hole”. It has no culture beyond terrorism, and no real chance of commerce or serious relations with Egypt, its neighbor to the west. They’ll be under Egyptian “occupation.” After Sharon’s “disengagement” plan and the Hamas takeover, being cut-off from Israel – which got tired of being attacked by them – the Gazans grew closer to the Bedouin of the Sinai.

The “West Bank or Fatahland,” by contrast, is more cosmopolitan. Although overwhelmingly Muslim, there is a significant minority of Christians. It has the potential to be more secular, more democratic, and more tolerant. Trade and cultural relations with Jordan exist and will continue to flourish.

East and West Palestine will suffer from uneven development. If the child-state is born, and democracy does “rear its ugly head” with its tolerance and pluralism, Western movies, music, gambling casinos and bars; you can count on the Ayatollahs and sheikhs of Gaza-Hamastan to rant and rave against “the infidels” in East Palestine, i.e. the West Bank-Fatahland.

I firmly believe that an independent Palestinian State will suffer the same outcome as East and West Pakistan.

For those of you who don’t remember, East and West Pakistan fought a bloody civil war in 1971, and the outcome was Bangladesh, an independent state. Although both parts of Pakistan were Muslim – the only reason for its separation from India in 1947 in the first place – cultural and ethnic differences led to serious animosity between the two sides.

Yet, developmental inequality is what pushed the final button. East Pakistan was an economic basket case (as it continues to be today). “Blessed” by being at the convergence point of several natural phenomena, the southern third of East Pakistan/Bangladesh sits on the mouth of the Ganges River, where it empties into the Bay of Bengal. Never short of water, they regularly suffer from floods from the Ganges overflow and yearly monsoons (hurricanes).


A former International Relations professor of mine – originally from Thailand – once commented that Bangladesh is situated in one of the harshest inhabited areas of the world. “Why would people want to live there?” he asked. “It would do the international community good to simply move the entire population out of there. It would save a lot of lives, money and time in disaster relief efforts.”

East Pakistan – the more populous area – for years complained that they weren’t getting their fair share of central government budgets. After a period of military rule, in December 1970, the East Pakistani Awami League won absolute control over the newly formed parliament. With the Awami League set to control the government and demanding autonomy for East Pakistan in a federated state, General Yahya – junta leader from West Pakistan – chose to disband the assembly and invaded the East. Civil war broke out and, after a half-million Bengalis (East Pakistanis) were massacred, India invaded to establish order. Ultimately India recognized Bangladeshi independence and so did the international community. But India continues to suffer until today from the Muslim fanatics of Pakistan.

Is that the prognosis for East and West Palestine? Will Gaza scream foul? Is a civil war or societal degeneration in the offing for the unborn child-state, or would a partial-birth abortion better serve the international community?

The world should think seriously about the viability – or not – of a territorially divided Palestinian state. Show me a successful model, anywhere in the world, of an independent country divided in two parts by another state. Or, will there be continuous warfare between Israel and Palestine to foster unity between the Arabs and to gain contiguity?

East and West Palestine, or Hamastan vs. Fatahland, is an experiment doomed to failure from the start.


Like my former professor’s advice about Bangladesh, I suggest about East and West Palestine that, “it would do the international community good to simply move the entire population out of there. It would save a lot of lives, money and time...”

Few things in life are certain, but these two are worth betting on...


First, that East and West Palestine won’t survive long if born, and second, that the territorial integrity of the Land of Israel will. The Jewish people didn’t survive 2,000 years of dispersal and persecution just to return to their homeland, gain independence, and then give it away to 7th century Arab imperialists and early 20th century Arab squatters.


Ariel Natan Pasko, an independent analyst and consultant, has a Master's Degree specializing in International Relations, Political Economy & Policy Analysis. His articles appear regularly on numerous news/views and think-tank websites and in newspapers. His latest articles can also be read on his archive: The Think Tank by Ariel Natan Pasko.

(c) 2017/5778 Pasko

Published at: JewishPress.com, BreakingIsraelNews.com, United With Israel, etc.